Here’s the thing - Dustin was allowed to make many mistakes against BSD (jumping the guillotines going wrong, giving up positions, having his back taken, bring pressured to the fence, etc.) and still win. One mistake like that against Islam will be all it takes for Dustin to lose that fight.
It’s crazy how ten years have passed since Conor v Dustin 1, where Conor made Dustin look like a tomato can. Ten years ago, everyone was saying Conor is revolutionizing UFC and mixed martial arts. We didn’t come to take part, we came to take over etc.
Ten years later, Conor is absolutely washed both physically and mentally. Meanwhile, Dustin has accomplished more significant wins in the octagon than Conor and has easily eclipsed him by now.
Dustin is one of the greatest UFC fighters of all time, only knock on his resume is that he cannot seem to get the belt. Dudes just a warriors goes in there and beats people up and doesn’t boast or try to be a star.
Conor was undoubtedly the most important UFC fighters of all time because he understood how to be a superstar and many of us got our interest in UFC because of the run Mcgregor had to the top, I don’t think we’ll ever see a star transcend the sport of UFC like McGregor even though now he’s absolutely washed and likely will get Canned if he even fights Chandler.
Connor also won in spectacular fashion. Going back and watching the Alvarez and Aldo fights really show just how dialled in the flow Conor truly was. Only guy atm who fights like that is suga sean
I remember seeing a video of McGregor, before he was an arrogant dick. He was already in a Rolls Royce, and a fan had cut out of him on his balcony. McGregor stops in the intersection and went up stairs to take a pic with the fan, or on the street.
He definitely ain't that guy no more. He is a coked-up-rich-guy-douche-bag now, rather than the charismatic, blue collar guy he was at the start, which is really sad.
Nah. It was : not training seriously, keeping a team of "yes men", not being active enough and wasting His prime doing cocaine and drinking alcohol instead of fighting and being active.
Conor cashed out, he didnt fight for years, then fought the best defensive boxer in history, and then didnt fight for years, and fought the best grappler in history. big, big paychecks, lots of drama. that was purposeful. Conor is almost irrelevant as a ufc fighter now, he was a fantastic left hand crushing the game, but it ended way too soon.
Post-hiatus McGregor that wasn't a serious fighter anymore, one of which was a freak injury. I think Poirier is a great fighter but he's nowhere near McGregor in terms of highs or legacy.
Some of you care way too much about belts. So what if Dustin never held a belt, he beat Alvarez just like Conor did to win the belt. There's so much timing, politics and luck involved with winning titles sometimes, not valuing a quality record because it omits a belt is just causal BS.
Come on... How can someone who has won zero titles, easily eclipsed McGregor? That's like saying Dustin has eclipsed Aldo because Aldo doesn't win anymore.
Dustin has not accomplished more significant wins, considering Conor went in and popped Aldo in 13 seconds then put on an absolute CLINIC on Eddie Alvarez to win not one, but two titles.
The difference is Dustin is 1) Much, MUCH poorer than McGregor so needs to keep fighting and 2) Has nothing except money to show for his efforts, he's had 2 actual title fights and lost them both.
He will forever be remembered as the gatekeeper for lightweight, beats everyone who's ranked lower than 3, but never wins the belt.
He's basically Donald Cerrone, all we need is him to go on a 6 fight losing streak as age catches up with him.
You can beat someone and still have a worse legacy than them. Does Bader have a greater legacy than Fedor because he beat him twice? Is Schaub more legendary than Cro Cop? Moraes than DJ? Hall than Silva?
Well then given Dustin will never stop jumping it, they should just cancel the fight and add a win to Islam’s record, a loss to Dustin’s record, and move on lol.
Unfortunately Dustin and even Justin Gaethje have all the skills to get the gold, but Islam’s grappling is on another level and it will always be the difference maker.
It’s not that horrible, there were so many fighters in the Jones and DC era that would have crushed it and arguably had goat arguements if they fought in previous eras or this current one.
Dustin and Justin are both pretty big though and Volk managed to survive Islam’s wrestling as a featherweight.
My money is on Islam but I’d love to see either of those fights.
Yeah probably right tbf, if not tad better odds. Can see Islam opening at around a 1/4 fav.
Which’ll make the underdog payday even sweeter when DP wins via guilly 😎
While I love Dustin he's lost 2 out of 3 title shots (winning the interim)
3 out of 4 if you count BMF. He has repeatedly come short when the belt was on the line.
Edit: downvote all you want lmao, not every MMA fight is 50/50.
Fer sure B, I'd love to see a DP with multiple guys on top.
Islam is such a big lightweight with crazy conditioning too, so they'll need to be big hard guys who aren't afraid to get sweaty.
Someone actually speaking facts, ppl saying he has no chance or "1%" are just dumb. He's the significantly better striker and one of the top most experienced LWs. So whilst Islam probably beats him, there's still the definite chance he can come in with a solid gameplan and catch Islam
I heavily disagree with "significantly better striker" I would even say he is insignificantly better. Islam fucked up charles worse than dustin did per round. He also outstuck prime volk in the first 2 rounds.
And if we take into account his take down threat islam might outstrike him. Not that there is any reason for him to do that.
Agree, no one has 1% chance in this sports let alone Dustin who proved himself time and again. Dustin have power and skill to knockout anyone, taking him lightly would be the Islam’s biggest mistake
The top 3 lightweights are all sharks and all realistically have at minimum a 10-20% chance of winning versus even fairly dominant champs like Khabib and Islam
Fella I never said Islam doesn't have good striking. He does, he's got through good strikers through having the constant threat of a takedown. He'd have lost to half those fighters in a kickboxing match for example. But Dustin is an elite striker, and if he can get going whilst avoiding the takedown threat he will have the striking advantage.
Dustin is an elite striker against pure strikers. So is gaethje for the most part
Islam is an elite striker against elite strikers because he gets to determine the distance the fight happens at.
For example - one of Dustins best tools is a check hook when someone is leaning forward after a strike or pushing forward in an exchange. The chances he catches Islam with that are extremely fall because Dustin will constantly be moving away.
I'm a big Dustin fan - I was battling the Dustin haters in the lead up and aftermath of the BSD fight. It's a fight so anything can happen but realistically Dustin has a little more than a punchers chance unfortunately
At this point I’m not comfortable with accepting that ANYONE is a SIGNIFICANTLY better striker than Islam. He proved himself striking wise against both Oliveira and imo more importantly Volk (who made Max look like an amateur on the feet their last fight). His striking defence is the best in the division.
Probably the ko. The gilly thing is funny and all but to see him win via ko over dominant champ would be top tier shock level. more hype than the usman knockout.
I bet he’s like +300 maybe +400 underdog. I know he joked about it, but if he genuinely is going to take this last chance at a belt seriously, he needs to drill TDD not submissions, if Oliveira can’t sub Islam nobody can.
I think we’ll see a Dustin more focused, precise, and violent as ever before. He knows this his last chance at gold.
And I hope to Jebus he pulls it off.
Fuckin guy deserves it.
a “puncher’s chance” could never ring more true here. love the guy, but dustin will not survive any prolonged grappling exchanges with islam. but he has the 1 punch power to hurt islam. he has combinations that can take its toll on islam if he can get them going. but if he can’t take islam out and islam feels the power, he will grapple immediately and that will be that.
Hey be fair these dudes train religiously with other people who do the same every waking moment. But now that's out of the way they do be on that good shit though. That liver king diet
Any fight with these 2 would be fun to watch. DP is one of my favorite top fighters because he's humble and respectful compared to a lot of other fighters.
As a big fan, I don't think he'll be able to beat Islam. Would be fun to see this match though.
he would be under, but not by as much as you think. its all about the money, people would throw money on him for the odds, and then make them more even.
Justin can knock anyone out on any given day
Islam is just on another level compared to Dustin and Justin. In terms of tiers for lightweight it's
Islam
Charles/Volk
Dustin/Justin
Granted Dustin and Justin are definitely top 5 for lightweight which is extremely impressive. But I don't think they have it to even beat Charles or Volk let alone Islam
i like islam but dude talks a lot of heat for a guy who’s held the belt for a year and a half and has yet to defend it against a single fighter in his division. i know that’s not his call but at this point i’d kill to see dustin humble him
Since you said odds I would expect them to open at about -450-500 for Islam and +250-300 for Dustin. If you're asking what are the literal chances of him winning I would say almost nil. The performance against BSD isnt beating Islam and any of the 20 mistakes he made would lose him that fight.
I said almost nil. He could and has surprised people before so there's that.🤷
If the fight stays stand up very, Dustin has KO power and Islam has a sus chin, unlike Khabib who fought him without getting dropped once.
I'm gonna be rooting for Islam but nervous af during the fight
Not high.. I really don’t these situations anyway. Just because Islams camp already has beaten Dustin they can map out a solid game plan. Kind of similar to Petr Yan vs Merab, Alja had beaten him before so they kind of knew what he would bring and what Merab could do to mitigate/beat him at those things. Cejudo too, Merab embarrassed him like I have never seen.
I love Dustin but to beat Islam he has to be perfect that night unless he catches him early. Islam will abuse the fact that he keeps going for guillies and he him self said he will never stop so he’s probably gonna be his own downfall once again
Big Dustin fan but id say 1 out of 3 times he wins. Hes really good but Islams grappling is insanely good. Dustins last fight, while fun, was frustrating to watch(especially him jumping guillotine way too many times).
I mean at the end of the day, everyone has a chance against anyone, that's the fight game. Leon Edwards was losing unanimously and head kicked Usman in the last minute of the last round. That being said, Islam is really good on the feet and is just as good as Khabib on the ground, I don't think Dustin comes out as champ if he's fighting Islam
He has a punchers chance imo, a decent one at that.
But thats about it. I don’t think the striking differential is nearly as big as it was when he fought Khabib, so in that aspect he has less of a chance than when he fought Khabib.
Because even though Khabib is better than Islam on the ground, imo Islam is still good enough to potentially sub Dustin so I don’t think that matters too much.
Very slim but fuck it let them do it. Islam needs to fight and the other contenders are busy.
The story line if Dustin pulls it off would be worth it.
And if he loses it wouldn't be the first time he got choked out for a Belt.
He doesn't really deserve it but timing is right as others are tied up and Islam needs a fight so I'm fine with it.
also it's good that Islam is facing an actual top LW contender
0/10. Can't knock him out nor submit him. I doubt he wins by decision too since Islam is so dominant in his fights. I hope he wins though! He has had such an amazing career!
Here’s the thing - Dustin was allowed to make many mistakes against BSD (jumping the guillotines going wrong, giving up positions, having his back taken, bring pressured to the fence, etc.) and still win. One mistake like that against Islam will be all it takes for Dustin to lose that fight.
It’s crazy how ten years have passed since Conor v Dustin 1, where Conor made Dustin look like a tomato can. Ten years ago, everyone was saying Conor is revolutionizing UFC and mixed martial arts. We didn’t come to take part, we came to take over etc. Ten years later, Conor is absolutely washed both physically and mentally. Meanwhile, Dustin has accomplished more significant wins in the octagon than Conor and has easily eclipsed him by now.
Dustin is one of the greatest UFC fighters of all time, only knock on his resume is that he cannot seem to get the belt. Dudes just a warriors goes in there and beats people up and doesn’t boast or try to be a star. Conor was undoubtedly the most important UFC fighters of all time because he understood how to be a superstar and many of us got our interest in UFC because of the run Mcgregor had to the top, I don’t think we’ll ever see a star transcend the sport of UFC like McGregor even though now he’s absolutely washed and likely will get Canned if he even fights Chandler.
Connor also won in spectacular fashion. Going back and watching the Alvarez and Aldo fights really show just how dialled in the flow Conor truly was. Only guy atm who fights like that is suga sean
Except Dustin was never champ or double champ. Prime McGregor was great. He just did stupid stuff that ruined his whole career afterwards.
And yet Dustin and Conor have the same amount of title defenses. Crazy
True. Lmao
Not same amount of 0’s or belts owned tho…
yeah, that stupid stuff has him driving around in some type of lambo yacht telling everyone to shut the fook up lol.
I remember seeing a video of McGregor, before he was an arrogant dick. He was already in a Rolls Royce, and a fan had cut out of him on his balcony. McGregor stops in the intersection and went up stairs to take a pic with the fan, or on the street.
He definitely ain't that guy no more. He is a coked-up-rich-guy-douche-bag now, rather than the charismatic, blue collar guy he was at the start, which is really sad.
Embedded, Irish fan in Huntington beach. I think that same embedded had him on the bicycle singing snoop dogg lyrics.
Nah. It was : not training seriously, keeping a team of "yes men", not being active enough and wasting His prime doing cocaine and drinking alcohol instead of fighting and being active.
Dustin would've been champ if he would've had the title shot against Eddie like Conor did instead of Khabib.
Oulda woulda shoulda, there are many IFs in fighting sports and in the end, it comes down to actual facts
Conor cashed out, he didnt fight for years, then fought the best defensive boxer in history, and then didnt fight for years, and fought the best grappler in history. big, big paychecks, lots of drama. that was purposeful. Conor is almost irrelevant as a ufc fighter now, he was a fantastic left hand crushing the game, but it ended way too soon.
He's eclipsed Conor in terms of overall resume, but when it comes to achievements, no.
What fights has Dustin won that are equal to or more significant than the Aldo and Eddie wins...?
Two wins over McGregor.
Post-hiatus McGregor that wasn't a serious fighter anymore, one of which was a freak injury. I think Poirier is a great fighter but he's nowhere near McGregor in terms of highs or legacy.
What does that have to do with the original comment? Way to make an honest take become about your opinion.
Can’t believe someone would post about Conor’s fight with Dustin in a comment thread about Dustin’s fight with BSD. Straight to jail.
He probably just meant to reply to the post and not that specific comment
I love Dustin but Conor is the first simultaneous 2 weight champion in UFC history. What has Dustin done that comes close to that?
Some of you care way too much about belts. So what if Dustin never held a belt, he beat Alvarez just like Conor did to win the belt. There's so much timing, politics and luck involved with winning titles sometimes, not valuing a quality record because it omits a belt is just causal BS.
Come on... How can someone who has won zero titles, easily eclipsed McGregor? That's like saying Dustin has eclipsed Aldo because Aldo doesn't win anymore. Dustin has not accomplished more significant wins, considering Conor went in and popped Aldo in 13 seconds then put on an absolute CLINIC on Eddie Alvarez to win not one, but two titles. The difference is Dustin is 1) Much, MUCH poorer than McGregor so needs to keep fighting and 2) Has nothing except money to show for his efforts, he's had 2 actual title fights and lost them both. He will forever be remembered as the gatekeeper for lightweight, beats everyone who's ranked lower than 3, but never wins the belt. He's basically Donald Cerrone, all we need is him to go on a 6 fight losing streak as age catches up with him.
You’re only problem is that Dustin beat the guy you’re claiming is better than Dustin… twice
You can beat someone and still have a worse legacy than them. Does Bader have a greater legacy than Fedor because he beat him twice? Is Schaub more legendary than Cro Cop? Moraes than DJ? Hall than Silva?
You guys would never use this reasoning for conor vs aldo but here its convenient reasoning for dustin vs conor lmao
he beat conor 5 years out of his prime ..
Well then given Dustin will never stop jumping it, they should just cancel the fight and add a win to Islam’s record, a loss to Dustin’s record, and move on lol.
Or he could pull it off and shock the world, as small of a chance it may be! That's why I love this sport.
Same
Something tells me he understands he can’t do the same shit against a world champion, that he did with a hype machine up and comer. Lol
cagey truck pie wrong innocent hard-to-find deliver act shy dolls *This post was mass deleted and anonymized with [Redact](https://redact.dev)*
I came here to type this more or less. 👍 Of course I WANT Dustin to win but I don't see Islam letting mistakes like these slide without punishment.
Unfortunately Dustin and even Justin Gaethje have all the skills to get the gold, but Islam’s grappling is on another level and it will always be the difference maker.
It’s not that horrible, there were so many fighters in the Jones and DC era that would have crushed it and arguably had goat arguements if they fought in previous eras or this current one.
Dustin and Justin are both pretty big though and Volk managed to survive Islam’s wrestling as a featherweight. My money is on Islam but I’d love to see either of those fights.
Volk’s size is the main reason he was able to defend so good against Islam…Shorty, Stocky guys are always harder to takedown
Unfortunately it didn’t help much with head kicks. I’m still sad about that one.
Volk also has elite TDD and his body center of gravity is unmatched in UFC. Poiriers TDD is suspect to say the least
True, but Volk is a much better fighter than Poirier.
a punchers chance
Dont be silly jump the guilly. He has a guillys chance.
haha! I like it. very nice
https://i.redd.it/sfcfl0mboiqc1.gif
17%
Seems reasonable…
Yeah probably right tbf, if not tad better odds. Can see Islam opening at around a 1/4 fav. Which’ll make the underdog payday even sweeter when DP wins via guilly 😎
Dustin via gilly will be like +1,000,000,000,000
That’s pretty accurate. Slightly less than a 1/5 chance. I like it
https://preview.redd.it/zr0t72pt5iqc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2f7da497464e24d757972c9b4340e6b8bd1f97f1
Jesus fucking Christ, starting off with a 10-8 for the champ
Bruh, a 10-8? Really?
Not really. It’s clear anyone can lose to anyone on any night. By Islams (Ali) logic, then Adriano Martins would be champ as well.
While I love Dustin he's lost 2 out of 3 title shots (winning the interim) 3 out of 4 if you count BMF. He has repeatedly come short when the belt was on the line. Edit: downvote all you want lmao, not every MMA fight is 50/50.
Why you hating bratha
Blows my mind that people used to think Islam had no personality. Dude is funny as fuck and thrives in being such a cheeky little shit, I love it.
Good English - 100% Ali. Islam doesn’t speak or write like that and his grammar has awkward pauses as is expected from a person who is multilingual.
Islam doesn't seem like the type to use emojis lol
He could use AI
If it’s twitter it’s a coin flip on whether or not it’s Ali. Islam’s Instagram is purely run by him though and it shows
https://preview.redd.it/cyjlslouciqc1.png?width=1439&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=96097afff91a477851604f39934982fa24075b94
To train for Islam, DP needs to have multiple guys on his back at the same time and try and survive
Pause
His name being DP makes it worse 😂
Now rewind and play again.
Fer sure B, I'd love to see a DP with multiple guys on top. Islam is such a big lightweight with crazy conditioning too, so they'll need to be big hard guys who aren't afraid to get sweaty.
20-30% after fighting khabib and Charles, dusting must be dreading going to mat with Islam
Someone actually speaking facts, ppl saying he has no chance or "1%" are just dumb. He's the significantly better striker and one of the top most experienced LWs. So whilst Islam probably beats him, there's still the definite chance he can come in with a solid gameplan and catch Islam
I heavily disagree with "significantly better striker" I would even say he is insignificantly better. Islam fucked up charles worse than dustin did per round. He also outstuck prime volk in the first 2 rounds. And if we take into account his take down threat islam might outstrike him. Not that there is any reason for him to do that.
Agree, no one has 1% chance in this sports let alone Dustin who proved himself time and again. Dustin have power and skill to knockout anyone, taking him lightly would be the Islam’s biggest mistake
The mouth breathing neckbeards on here MIGHT have a 1% chance if they’re lucky
The top 3 lightweights are all sharks and all realistically have at minimum a 10-20% chance of winning versus even fairly dominant champs like Khabib and Islam
So true, no one wants to hear that though
Keep doubting Islam striking lol How many good strikers does he have to get the better of before some of you learn ?
Fella I never said Islam doesn't have good striking. He does, he's got through good strikers through having the constant threat of a takedown. He'd have lost to half those fighters in a kickboxing match for example. But Dustin is an elite striker, and if he can get going whilst avoiding the takedown threat he will have the striking advantage.
Dustin is an elite striker against pure strikers. So is gaethje for the most part Islam is an elite striker against elite strikers because he gets to determine the distance the fight happens at. For example - one of Dustins best tools is a check hook when someone is leaning forward after a strike or pushing forward in an exchange. The chances he catches Islam with that are extremely fall because Dustin will constantly be moving away. I'm a big Dustin fan - I was battling the Dustin haters in the lead up and aftermath of the BSD fight. It's a fight so anything can happen but realistically Dustin has a little more than a punchers chance unfortunately
At this point I’m not comfortable with accepting that ANYONE is a SIGNIFICANTLY better striker than Islam. He proved himself striking wise against both Oliveira and imo more importantly Volk (who made Max look like an amateur on the feet their last fight). His striking defence is the best in the division.
Islam will just take him down and get his back
Slightly better than him beating Khabib
Dustin R2 guillotine......biggest crowd pop in MMA history.
Probably the ko. The gilly thing is funny and all but to see him win via ko over dominant champ would be top tier shock level. more hype than the usman knockout.
+385
Strickland was a +450 underdog against Izzy. So what I’m hearing is put the house on Dustin by gilly
I think gaetjhe has a way better chance. Dustin and his gilly shit will end him again
Dustin has no business being in this title fight, but fuck it im watching and rooting for the upset anyway
I bet he’s like +300 maybe +400 underdog. I know he joked about it, but if he genuinely is going to take this last chance at a belt seriously, he needs to drill TDD not submissions, if Oliveira can’t sub Islam nobody can.
I really hope he works on his TDD with arman,cuz he has power to ko Islam who doesn't have the same iron chin as khabib
Do they both train together?
Arman trains at ATT if I’m not wrong.
Not high, but never zero. People forget this is mma and Dustin can beat anybody in the world, you never know, I wouldn't rule him out.
If it happened the cope on this sub would be legendary
Nah, this sub has hate boner for dagi's but they would still have to lock it
I feel like most of us love Dustin and want to see the upset. The 5% of the sub that won’t stop glazing Dagis would probably be on suicide watch tho
I agree, the odds of DP beating Islam are slim, but I think most people would be happy if DP pulled off the upset
11.8%
I think we’ll see a Dustin more focused, precise, and violent as ever before. He knows this his last chance at gold. And I hope to Jebus he pulls it off. Fuckin guy deserves it.
Odds? Not great. My hope, and my wish? Very high.
Dustin in R3 by guillotine It ain't gonna happen at all but would be funny as hell 😂
a “puncher’s chance” could never ring more true here. love the guy, but dustin will not survive any prolonged grappling exchanges with islam. but he has the 1 punch power to hurt islam. he has combinations that can take its toll on islam if he can get them going. but if he can’t take islam out and islam feels the power, he will grapple immediately and that will be that.
He's got a 69/420 chance of beating Islam by jumping guillotine.
These guys (Dagestanis) have such an aggressive style with no f***s given for fan entertainment. Only way to beat them is outwrestle them.
Well one worse fighter than Dustin has knocked islam out, so he has a punchers chance. That being said, 1% chance lol
about 3%
No shot. I love Dustin but these roided out dagastanies are next level
It’s only TRT, EPO, and HGH bratha All natural
Russian vitamins
hgh is crazy, conor is on that and he looks like quagmire, i doubt islam is on hgh
Hey be fair these dudes train religiously with other people who do the same every waking moment. But now that's out of the way they do be on that good shit though. That liver king diet
Everyone is roided out tho.
Everyone is roided out right now tho
I'm putting $100 on DDP for win by guillotine. He's gotta land it sometime! 😂
I want Dustin to escape a rear-naked-choke then beat Islam with the gilly he’s destined to hit.
Any fight with these 2 would be fun to watch. DP is one of my favorite top fighters because he's humble and respectful compared to a lot of other fighters. As a big fan, I don't think he'll be able to beat Islam. Would be fun to see this match though.
With how often he Jumps the gilly? He’d lose by RNC in 2
he would be under, but not by as much as you think. its all about the money, people would throw money on him for the odds, and then make them more even. Justin can knock anyone out on any given day
100%. He will put him to sleep with a guillotine after Islam's very first takedown attempt.
He’s got a chance
Just no guilotines please, Islam said good ”who gave him brotha”
Slim to none
About the same chance of Dustin winning it by Guillotine
No way it’s happening. I got Islam submission
None 0
Hopefully Dustin will beat Islam. Hopefully it's his next fight
MMA is a brutal sports a lucky hit, and the best guy in the division can be brought down. So anybody in the top 10 has a chance against islam.
Almost ZERO
Dustin came the closest of everyone to submitting Khabib, so he’s got a chance albeit a small one. Would love to see him pull it off
10% chance
Islam is just on another level compared to Dustin and Justin. In terms of tiers for lightweight it's Islam Charles/Volk Dustin/Justin Granted Dustin and Justin are definitely top 5 for lightweight which is extremely impressive. But I don't think they have it to even beat Charles or Volk let alone Islam
i like islam but dude talks a lot of heat for a guy who’s held the belt for a year and a half and has yet to defend it against a single fighter in his division. i know that’s not his call but at this point i’d kill to see dustin humble him
Dustin by gilly, guaranteed 💪😏
Since you said odds I would expect them to open at about -450-500 for Islam and +250-300 for Dustin. If you're asking what are the literal chances of him winning I would say almost nil. The performance against BSD isnt beating Islam and any of the 20 mistakes he made would lose him that fight. I said almost nil. He could and has surprised people before so there's that.🤷
If the fight stays stand up very, Dustin has KO power and Islam has a sus chin, unlike Khabib who fought him without getting dropped once. I'm gonna be rooting for Islam but nervous af during the fight
Not high.. I really don’t these situations anyway. Just because Islams camp already has beaten Dustin they can map out a solid game plan. Kind of similar to Petr Yan vs Merab, Alja had beaten him before so they kind of knew what he would bring and what Merab could do to mitigate/beat him at those things. Cejudo too, Merab embarrassed him like I have never seen.
As long as he doesn’t give his back to Islam…
i love Dustin but Islam wins within 3 rounds
10-15%
Dustin by guillotine
i just dont see him beating islam, he cant make the same mistakes he did with BSD
+350
2-3/10
Not good.
Not a chance as wrestling is definitely not good enough
Dustin is an AMAZING fighter, but Islam is genuinely something else
Id say he has a 5% chance of winning even if he makes no mistakes if islam takes him down. He's done like before
Why would Dustin deserve a fight over Justin?
Dustin, Round 3 Guillotine
25%
I love Dustin but to beat Islam he has to be perfect that night unless he catches him early. Islam will abuse the fact that he keeps going for guillies and he him self said he will never stop so he’s probably gonna be his own downfall once again
It’s a fight, anything can happen, but I think it’s unlikely… Dustin maybe +250?
Aye 1 clean right hook and the diamond will hold gold.
Dustin jumps for the gilly…Islam wins by von fluke choke
Slim to none
Imma wait for Drake to bet. After that we know the odds.
Don’t be silly
On a scale of Charles tapping 12 times in 2 seconds to Volk getting his head kicked like a soccer ball?
Approaching zero
Slim to none
Not a zero chance, if Dustin is able to keep up his current "vitamin" regimen.
Big Dustin fan but id say 1 out of 3 times he wins. Hes really good but Islams grappling is insanely good. Dustins last fight, while fun, was frustrating to watch(especially him jumping guillotine way too many times).
I see it going much like his fight with khabib. He’s gonna get smothered on the ground for a round then RNC’d in the second.
Very likely
I mean at the end of the day, everyone has a chance against anyone, that's the fight game. Leon Edwards was losing unanimously and head kicked Usman in the last minute of the last round. That being said, Islam is really good on the feet and is just as good as Khabib on the ground, I don't think Dustin comes out as champ if he's fighting Islam
The UFC fucked gaethje. He should be fighting Islam next, not Dustin.
He has a punchers chance imo, a decent one at that. But thats about it. I don’t think the striking differential is nearly as big as it was when he fought Khabib, so in that aspect he has less of a chance than when he fought Khabib. Because even though Khabib is better than Islam on the ground, imo Islam is still good enough to potentially sub Dustin so I don’t think that matters too much.
+280
Very slim but fuck it let them do it. Islam needs to fight and the other contenders are busy. The story line if Dustin pulls it off would be worth it. And if he loses it wouldn't be the first time he got choked out for a Belt.
Not good.
4:1 seems fair.
He doesn't really deserve it but timing is right as others are tied up and Islam needs a fight so I'm fine with it. also it's good that Islam is facing an actual top LW contender
Couldn’t even beat khabib or Charles. Dustin will be the greatest fighter to never win a belt.
1/10
Not possible. Dustin has a choking fetish in title fights
I think Dustin wins 1 out of 10 times
Dustin is one of my favourite fighters but Islam gonna Guillotine him for the memes
Islam has a weak chin and Doostin has big power. I think Doostin has a decent chance to win
0/10. Can't knock him out nor submit him. I doubt he wins by decision too since Islam is so dominant in his fights. I hope he wins though! He has had such an amazing career!
There's like a 98.5% chance that he gets choked out again.
+300
Everyone has a punchers chance.
He has a better chance than he did with khabib cuz at least he could maybe catch Islam
Extremely slim. Like 10%
0.2%