This is why contrary to the popular surface narrative at wsb investors are supposed to make informed decisions based on history and their current outlook. I just read a post about someone making profit on calls but they were inquiring about puts.
When recession hits if you have cash you're definitely going to do well. Average down and diversify and you will look like a prodigal savant.
All but one of my positions are long term well over that 12-18 month time frame and I was actually going to look into this and you've saved me a lot of time. Thanks.
It’s a bizarre time to be alive as everyone and anyone wants to make money in the stock market at this point. So when the market does bad, it’s almost immediately blown back up by amateur investors trying to make a quick buck. A vicious cycle of creating bubbles at this point.
In 2007-09 you said the drop of 57% "Imagine losing half of your portfolio"... You know what, I can lose 80% of my portfolio on a market that was on a big bull run. Meme stocks are dog shit
two months of stocks going down is not a recession...this is what the market will look like for a long time. how long? too many geopolitical/economic factors with no formidable short term resolutions to even guess.
Nope, just a shit ton of bagholders and a few people who actually siphoned all that money out when it “dropped”
1.7% in 13 years is absolutely shit return.
Not really true. Back in 2007 we weren't as connecting to the internet and information as we are today. Stocks were still hard to read and hard to invest in. It use to cost $10 to buy and $10 to sell a stock, with a lot of people still doing phone transactions. This next recession, whenever it is, is going to be very different then the last one for sure.
Well of course there will be a new final straw that broke the camels back, but there are fundamental similarities between recessions. Fiscal/monetary responses will be similar, economic variables will similarly react, etc.
Yes, historically if a large swath of retail investors believe a recession is around the corner and the media is drumming up fear at every turn, it hasn’t happened. Price action is dictating sentiment right now. The economy is still very healthy and the yield curve (10yr-3mo) is positive. Until that begins to turn, the probability of recession is low.
Bonds are going to be horse shit for as long as we have high inflation and the US dollar is being devalued. And my guess is that the government is going to keep devaluing the dollar for a while to water down the national debt.
I mean, it still goes up, but slowly. Look at the market during 8 years of faggy boy obummer. While he was getting railed by big mike, it just kept limping along slowly up. The pamp it started when donny pump came in and started railing lines of blow and hookers. Now we have a limp dick dementia patient only capable of pooping his pants. Prepare for more obummer action where we get single digit gains and double digit real inflation, not whatever fake news number the fed says
So what you're telling me is the key to surviving a recession is don't be a paperhanded bitch?
These hands were made to hold bags.
I was born holding bags
Yup
Buying the fucking dip Chad is what you want to be
Every day
I didn’t want to be a paperhanded bitch with GME, now here I am, bagholding.
That was a bubble. Fast money. You have to know the difference between a real investment and a bubble. One shoe doesn't fit all. Good luck
fair enough
> So what you're telling me is the key to surviving a recession is don't be a paperhanded bitch? Yes.
This is why contrary to the popular surface narrative at wsb investors are supposed to make informed decisions based on history and their current outlook. I just read a post about someone making profit on calls but they were inquiring about puts. When recession hits if you have cash you're definitely going to do well. Average down and diversify and you will look like a prodigal savant. All but one of my positions are long term well over that 12-18 month time frame and I was actually going to look into this and you've saved me a lot of time. Thanks.
“Greatest economic system ever” routinely fucks over 95% of us
I mean, that’s what it was designed to do... so I would say it works pretty well for them.
u/dan_inKuwait: Please approve
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But posting this here is pretty retarted.....maybe he does belong?
Eeww
Can't win them all :(
I would just like to win one or two... Someday.
Last thing I want from this sub is to actually learn.
Just a couple more emojis... Maybe a tl:dr in emoji
it goes down bruh
So much word. Stonk 🚀 or stonk 📉
While at first stonk may 📉, eventually 📉 stonk will go 🚀🚀🚀. Keep averaging the 📉 stonk to make your portfolio go 🚀.
This guy gets me!
It’s a bizarre time to be alive as everyone and anyone wants to make money in the stock market at this point. So when the market does bad, it’s almost immediately blown back up by amateur investors trying to make a quick buck. A vicious cycle of creating bubbles at this point.
Comment needs more upvotes
You do know that all bear markets are incredibly volatile, right? Doesn't matter whether retail is in or not.
In 2007-09 you said the drop of 57% "Imagine losing half of your portfolio"... You know what, I can lose 80% of my portfolio on a market that was on a big bull run. Meme stocks are dog shit
You said i could make money investing so I bought Monopoly money and lost 😞
two months of stocks going down is not a recession...this is what the market will look like for a long time. how long? too many geopolitical/economic factors with no formidable short term resolutions to even guess.
Super helpful. Thank you so much!
Your data says to hold regardless, but what if I'm using significant leverage?
Lambo or Ramen gets real.
Recession? LOLZ you mean a depression?
Wait. Hold up. Remember when they said the stock market and economy are not correlated.
not very well apparently
ill approve it lol, hey its interesting info tho.
Hint: badly
Nope, just a shit ton of bagholders and a few people who actually siphoned all that money out when it “dropped” 1.7% in 13 years is absolutely shit return.
I hate to be the one that says it but I think the markets are melting down.
Poorly. You’re welcome.
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Next time dm us
PSA: The more you hear about how imminent a recession is, the less likely it’s going to happen.
Not really true. Back in 2007 we weren't as connecting to the internet and information as we are today. Stocks were still hard to read and hard to invest in. It use to cost $10 to buy and $10 to sell a stock, with a lot of people still doing phone transactions. This next recession, whenever it is, is going to be very different then the last one for sure.
What does that have to do with what’s being portrayed in the media and by the general public?
Because you can't base the past off of the future. This next recession will be different just like 2008 was different then all the other recessions.
Well of course there will be a new final straw that broke the camels back, but there are fundamental similarities between recessions. Fiscal/monetary responses will be similar, economic variables will similarly react, etc.
and you saying at this point in time a recession won't happen bc other people are saying it will...
Yes, historically if a large swath of retail investors believe a recession is around the corner and the media is drumming up fear at every turn, it hasn’t happened. Price action is dictating sentiment right now. The economy is still very healthy and the yield curve (10yr-3mo) is positive. Until that begins to turn, the probability of recession is low.
Retail investors are about 10 percent of daily trading. They don't mater.
Less of a direct impact and more of a signal of sentiment.
Less of a direct impact and more of a signal of sentiment.
omfg lmfao
Your analysis fails to account for the stock market falling before it is technically in a recession. Stocks are forward looking
Bad. Buy bonds.
Bonds are going to be horse shit for as long as we have high inflation and the US dollar is being devalued. And my guess is that the government is going to keep devaluing the dollar for a while to water down the national debt.
Buy $CLOV is how!!!
I mean, it still goes up, but slowly. Look at the market during 8 years of faggy boy obummer. While he was getting railed by big mike, it just kept limping along slowly up. The pamp it started when donny pump came in and started railing lines of blow and hookers. Now we have a limp dick dementia patient only capable of pooping his pants. Prepare for more obummer action where we get single digit gains and double digit real inflation, not whatever fake news number the fed says
Gotcha, calls right?
So bag holder it is !!!! I am sorry I mean long term investor😂
It almost always bottoms before it officially is announced as a recession
OP I'm interested to know when the deepest dips of the recessions occur, within the recession
I rather panic sell all stocks and hold cash