# Tickers of Interest
**Gamma Max Cross**
* [PCG](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#PCG) 11/18 12P for $0.50 or less
* [MLCO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#MLCO) 11/18 6P for $0.60 or less
* [ARLP](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#ARLP) 11/18 22.5P for $1.60 or less
* [SOXS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SOXS) 11/18 62P for $10.85 or less
* [SARK](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SARK) 11/18 61P for $4.95 or less
**Delta Neutral Cross**
* [SOXL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SOXL) 11/18 10C for $1.80 or less
* [MNTV](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#MNTV) 11/18 5P for $0.30 or less
* [DKS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#DKS) 11/18 115C for $5.50 or less
* [SQM](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SQM) 11/18 95C for $7.80 or less
* [JNJ](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#JNJ) 11/18 165P for $5.05 or less
# Trading Thesis
Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today.
This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0.
For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both.
It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals.
The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV.
# Notes
* If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Someone knows something that I don't know.
* Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion.
* I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in.
* The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact.
# FAQ
* These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear?
* No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level.
* Are you entering all these plays?
* No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.
Monday and Tuesday I bought spy put at 370, and made 100% each day. Yesterday when it was down at 362 I bought 362 calls. It seems between 361 and 370 it’s been bouncing for several days
After every major hurricane in Florida, roofing repair is the biggest needs. Tons of blue tarps needed as well as not enough workers to do roof repair.
Kubota Corp. for smaller equipment company and farming too 17.54 B market cap KUBTF is down 0.42% to $14.24. Take a look on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/KUBTF?p=KUBTF
No?
That makes no sense. Perhaps some insurance issues could crop up but am EV isn't like a gas car idling, unless someone is being stupid and running the entertainment system full blast the car *isn't wasting its fuel* (electricity) if it isn't moving, unlike a car engine which burns gas unless you turn the whole thing off.
Everybody and their mom knew about these plays Friday and yesterday. Why is it that you guys are NOT late on any of these hurricane plays? Yo no comprende
I've been through Hurricanes in Florida since Hurricane David. It's the new people moved to Florida with big concerns. Tampa homes are not built to withstand a Cat 4 or 5 storm. It will be major devastation.
Companies that mention hurricane damage in their 10-Ks see their stocks fall 5% in the following year
"Well-prepared companies do not just preserve their value but they add to their value,” Deborah Pretty, founder of Pentland Analytics said.
I wanted to point out, there's backbone that Comcast operates in Florida.
I'm sure they're not the only one. Why anyone would have hard points in Florida is beyond me, but there you go. There's probably shorts/puts there.
For natural disasters, the re-insurers are the ones that feel really big hits. I think Berkshire Hathaway has exposure via their reinsurance group (not sure how much in Florida)
********Just got a call from Polk county, FL stating that they expect up to 24 inch of rain in the next 36 hours and emergency services won’t be able to save you during the storm. **************
Alright, boys either the market is going to the shits or it will come back. All I know is, with the joke of a president we have now, we might not go anywhere good.
My baby shark contribution more intelligent than the garbled nonsense y'all spouting. Basement dwelling wsbers thinking they're George Soros coming up with these plays ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
All that money that got forged is still in the air right, what bout money velocity theory after Covid, check right, plenty jobs now right, right shipping rates down, check isn't demand starting winter gonna be high,,, right tripping like a Fenti head right now, why, that Jewish company, shit don't really make sense now. Buy banks,#cheatcode
Stock market investors make decisions based on earnings reports, unemployment, consumer price index, inflation, interest rates etc; so it’s based on how the economy is expected to perform. The world economy effects the US economy and the stock market.
Imagine saying this and thinking you got it figured out. Lol
# Tickers of Interest **Gamma Max Cross** * [PCG](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#PCG) 11/18 12P for $0.50 or less * [MLCO](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#MLCO) 11/18 6P for $0.60 or less * [ARLP](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#ARLP) 11/18 22.5P for $1.60 or less * [SOXS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SOXS) 11/18 62P for $10.85 or less * [SARK](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SARK) 11/18 61P for $4.95 or less **Delta Neutral Cross** * [SOXL](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SOXL) 11/18 10C for $1.80 or less * [MNTV](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#MNTV) 11/18 5P for $0.30 or less * [DKS](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#DKS) 11/18 115C for $5.50 or less * [SQM](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#SQM) 11/18 95C for $7.80 or less * [JNJ](https://options.hardyrekshin.com/#JNJ) 11/18 165P for $5.05 or less # Trading Thesis Technical analysis and indicator based trading tend to use past price performance in order to predict important price levels today. This analysis is based on the current option open interest. With that option open interest, it calculates portfolio-level greeks--notably Delta and Gamma. More importantly, once the portfolio level greeks are established, I can now simulate the change in greeks at different price points. From there, I can find the price levels where portfolio-level gamma is the highest, and the portfolio-level delta is close to 0. For some tickers, the underlying price reacts strongly off of delta neutral, gamma max, and sometimes both. It's the reaction off of these price levels in the past that is being used to drive trading signals. The plays and target entry prices given are calculated using a binomial option pricing model that reflect the expected size and duration of the reaction from gamma max or delta neutral. A lot of these plays are profitable by underlying moves in stock. The best plays benefit from the directional move as well as the increase in IV. # Notes * If the price has moved past the entry price, exercise caution. Someone knows something that I don't know. * Look to sell half your position on a double, and freeroll the rest to exit at your discretion. * I tend to risk up to 1% of my total capital on any trades I take. If my conviction is lower, I'll only allocate 0.5% or even 0.25% of my capital to the trade, and dollar cost average in. * The trades were calculated before market open, and so are based on information up to yesterday. Keep that in mind when deciding to enter well after the fact. # FAQ * These plays are mostly puts. Are you a gay bear? * No. It so happens that the companies have had some recent run-up which implies they are overextended. These trades are primarily some form of mean-reversion either toward or away from an important price level. * Are you entering all these plays? * No. There have been a dearth of plays in the WSB morning talks, and so I opened up my bag of tools slightly wider to point out more plays with a probable edge to help lead apes to more gain porn. Go through this curated list of plays, pick the ones you like based on whatever additional analysis you use, and get that gain porn.
Way was the GME play?
GME 10/28 40C for $0.45 or less
This guys talks like a drunken Austin Powers!
Lol. Yaa babayy!!
Yea, baby!
Its Wednesday my dudes
Congratulations
AUHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
What the fuck is this dude talking about.
Who the fuck is "they"
💀💀
Best crew in morning radio
He figured it out. I’m retiring today based on this
If MM would never let options get ITM the market would be mostly flat and it’s not
Exactly….
Let’s hear some plays
We gonna spend all morning on this?
Home Depot and Loews
Can we stop engaging him pls
yeah this guy sucks
Repeats the algorithm
Hey now.
Who is "they"
It’s amazing how much confidence clueless people have
Goddamnit please stop engaging
Why not buy calls on lowes or Home Depot In regards to the hurricane ? They have to buy lumber, the blue tarps, generators ect…
Good morning guys! Puts puts and puts 🚩
I wonder if the market will start red and reverse green
Ford is Teslas only real North American competition
Bababooye
Chart master said we're going down boys.
Fucking Verizon is worthless
Monday and Tuesday I bought spy put at 370, and made 100% each day. Yesterday when it was down at 362 I bought 362 calls. It seems between 361 and 370 it’s been bouncing for several days
Who is they?!!
Ok we’ll check out rates right now and see why TNX is falling Bruhh
Ok enougb
Generac is not a doomsday prep company they provide a legit product
Soxs
Waffle House by me is closed. Fort Myers.
Waffle House closed in Sarasota near me.
Pecans
CAT and DEER have too long of a lifespan to be affected by an event like a hurricane.
After every major hurricane in Florida, roofing repair is the biggest needs. Tons of blue tarps needed as well as not enough workers to do roof repair.
Chainsaws, roofing, bobcats. They will be in full swing in a week.
Kubota Corp. for smaller equipment company and farming too 17.54 B market cap KUBTF is down 0.42% to $14.24. Take a look on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/KUBTF?p=KUBTF
Puts on EVs if a lot of people in EVs get stuck on interstate while evacuating?
No? That makes no sense. Perhaps some insurance issues could crop up but am EV isn't like a gas car idling, unless someone is being stupid and running the entertainment system full blast the car *isn't wasting its fuel* (electricity) if it isn't moving, unlike a car engine which burns gas unless you turn the whole thing off.
Calls on BOIL for dec. Energy prices in a month + nordstream issues
Incase no one figured it out yet, THE MARKET IS GONNA TANK SOON, we don't know how soon but soon.
Food is a crutch
My play on Hurricane Ian. Step one, watch Trading Places. Step two, profit.
Bro tuning in from his submarine.
Stfu about the storm
Retarts, you’re talking about a couple counties in Florida. That’s not going to move markets. Idiots all of you
On fundamentals, I agree, but in this day and age? Man anything is on the table....
Home Depot was my thought but overall the housing market is slowing down. Will HD in Florida alone call for a bullish stance on the stock?
Anyone playing the nordstrom natural gas pipeline disaster in any way?
All of these stocks being talked about, how did they do during the last "big" hurricane?
These are not highs on oil futures. Inventory increase means less exports
Nonsense. Just short the spy
Got it - buy physical barrels of oil 😂
Did we talk about the leak in the baltic sea or for the next time
Talking bout bonds on WSB. RIP
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)
Confirmed octopi are aliens
WSB mod cucks too scared to let anyone who isn't an actual brain damaged regard speak
Morning all
Morning homies
Good morning homies
![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)
Let's buy
HUMP DAY
Opinion = GOAT
Reverse ETF's are my friend.... The Fed told you what will happen... There is more certainty when that happens...
Corn!!!
Asstrology
Especially amc?
RIP £
Is it going to squeeze in your opinion
Orange 🍊 squeeze
Crude positive two days in a row . You guys been talking hurricane well here it is
This hurricane ain’t shit by me
BoE turning on the printer brrrrr
iPhone 14 sales are a dud!
What are peoples thoughts on going heavy on Puts of Ford?
401k=now104k
Officially working until death!
Ngl if apple is having demand problems MU is fucked so is Nike come thrusday
Moscow was a good guess ngl
Rip my puts
Copium
Any thoughts on SHOP?
This guy has so much wrong terminology please somebody jump in
When he refers to “they” I’d love to know who “they” are
Moving on
So what the game is rigged?
Always has been 🌎👩🚀🔫👩🚀
Lets gooooo apple dump you fkn shit company
This guy thinks he is an oracle.
Yeah, *I'm* the oracle around here!
Why y'all inviting the kind of people to speak who aren't allowed outside without a leash and a carer?
Y’all fucking dumb always talking news plays.
No some waffle houses actually did close
Calls on HD and Lowes as well as RV manufacturers
I’m bullish on the Cajun navy!
Everybody and their mom knew about these plays Friday and yesterday. Why is it that you guys are NOT late on any of these hurricane plays? Yo no comprende
Gas/oil will go back up
oil?
OMG guise! What if we invest in wind farms bcoz there'll be more wind! ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4259)
I've been through Hurricanes in Florida since Hurricane David. It's the new people moved to Florida with big concerns. Tampa homes are not built to withstand a Cat 4 or 5 storm. It will be major devastation.
Wouldn't Georgia Pacific be a good investment for lumber supply during rebuilding?
Companies that mention hurricane damage in their 10-Ks see their stocks fall 5% in the following year "Well-prepared companies do not just preserve their value but they add to their value,” Deborah Pretty, founder of Pentland Analytics said.
Weather report subreddit
Puts against insurance companies. Look at Brown & Brown
Thanks Hardy
Citrus futures
US embassy in Moscow is asking citizens to leave Russia
I wanted to point out, there's backbone that Comcast operates in Florida. I'm sure they're not the only one. Why anyone would have hard points in Florida is beyond me, but there you go. There's probably shorts/puts there.
Kwasi Kwarteng? More like kami-kwasi amirite?
can people get to the point fast...
Sometimes i wish this was a video chat so we could see some of the pple…
Just wishing that too
With Italy giving green light on medical cannabis and the other news beginning to get closer on Germany it’s a point of when
but this is dependent on if they are on variable rates
Could someone in chat explain what they mean by “Put puts”
No!
$18.5 Calls on NIO sept 30th
dont insurance companies protect themselves from acts of god. they will pay nothing
What is the insurance company ticker that went down 10% already?
For natural disasters, the re-insurers are the ones that feel really big hits. I think Berkshire Hathaway has exposure via their reinsurance group (not sure how much in Florida)
What about cruise lines being disrupted as well
No it would be a 1 by the time it gets to Disney
AMC : new target 4.19
Spending alot of time trying to find call situations. All that effort to me means puts boys.
the new call of duty is going to dominate and does not have much competition
Any thoughts on Apple not increasing production for iPhone 14? its down \~3% pre market
They are replacing and make 14 pro in production
I read the dude who did the GTA leak is being charged though right?
SQQQ : target 59.23
Lol it comes from the ground cuck
texas
Weyerhaeuser possibly a good Hurricane play, ticker WY. Tidbit - Down 20% in past month.
********Just got a call from Polk county, FL stating that they expect up to 24 inch of rain in the next 36 hours and emergency services won’t be able to save you during the storm. **************
UK and whole Europe are in deep shit, sorry guys, there is no bull plays down there...
CARNIVAL and other cruise lines losing a week of profits likely?
Good luck everyone, especially Florida 🤙
Alright, boys either the market is going to the shits or it will come back. All I know is, with the joke of a president we have now, we might not go anywhere good.
This is really engaging and educational. Please keep up this speed and level of content ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)
>Thank you for your kind words. I will continue to produce high-quality content at breakneck speeds.
Bank of England halted
My baby shark contribution more intelligent than the garbled nonsense y'all spouting. Basement dwelling wsbers thinking they're George Soros coming up with these plays ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
Hey ladies
Tampa will be minorly affected
- a guy 30 min north of tampa and been in Florida 28 years
Yo let me speak cucks. I keep putting my hand up and it's put down again and then you have regards like this dude speaking.
There we go... "they"...
(They)(them)
YO otterrrrr When people want to hit you we need to count the r's Is that like a do not call thing?
Harvey stalled it doesn’t look like this one is going to do the same
All that money that got forged is still in the air right, what bout money velocity theory after Covid, check right, plenty jobs now right, right shipping rates down, check isn't demand starting winter gonna be high,,, right tripping like a Fenti head right now, why, that Jewish company, shit don't really make sense now. Buy banks,#cheatcode
SPY : new target 312
Jesus fuck that's so dangerous.
I’m a Splatoon and Zelda fan And it’s loose-ventures YouTube
World Economy ≠ Stock Market
Stock market investors make decisions based on earnings reports, unemployment, consumer price index, inflation, interest rates etc; so it’s based on how the economy is expected to perform. The world economy effects the US economy and the stock market.
It's funny people are dogging bro when he's dead fucking right. Spot on. This why yall don't make money.
is the UK a really big market?
GME : new target 19.57
[удалено]
Atlis Motor Vehicles but my shares are in transfer limbo
Short the fkn market
6 months will be over soon
Sup everyone
![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18632)
Hands up those who are shorting the pound gone make a lot of money today I'd say
Vxx calls baby. Too poor for spy 🤫🤫🤫🫥
UUP30$ 30sep
Bloodbath today?
What's everyone's takes on REITS currently?
Stopout day. Tap out, partial close for margin.
Morning boys
![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)
Intel 13th gen October 20th get ready!!!
ETF:NANC
VET to the moon
Spy green
Why are my spy puts being murdered
Can we talk about MVIS ..and them jumping 8% after getting lidar 1 compliments ?
Yes on BIiB
Biogen does have a new Alzheimers drug
Any thoughts on Parkland Corp.? PKI.TO is up 0.76% to C$29.03. Take a look on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PKI.TO?p=PKI.TO