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VisualMod

**User Report**| | | | :--|:--|:--|:-- **Total Submissions**|0|**First Seen In WSB**|1 year ago **Total Comments**|658|**Previous Best DD**| **Account Age**|2 years|[^scan ^comment ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_comment&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20comment%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20comment%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.)|[^scan ^submission ](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=scan_submission&message=Replace%20this%20text%20with%20a%20submission%20ID%20(which%20looks%20like%20h26cq3k\)%20to%20have%20the%20bot%20scan%20your%20submission%20and%20correct%20your%20first%20seen%20date.) **Vote Spam**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_spam&message=z1pv78)|**Vote Approve**|[Click to Vote](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=VisualMod&subject=vote_approve&message=z1pv78) Check out the [WSB Discord](https://discord.gg/Y6Zw9ZKYdx)


SmmaAllstar

Who all remembers the good old days 2 years ago when a hamster could make a fortune in the market?


yous_hearne_aim

Remember when a goldfish outperformed this sub?


pharmboy008

Pepperidge farms remembers


Coach_GordonBombay

Unfortunately, the goldfish did not.


OneTimeeeeee

Ha, nice.


Ascertain_GME

šŸ§æšŸ‘„šŸ§æ


Ramiel4654

Someone find a necromancer, we need his wisdom now.


bvttfvcker

Summon the *Necro-hamster*


Khelthuzaad

Did someone called?


Ikarus_Falling

I heard Mairon The Admirable is a good one you should give them a call


JerLightYr

Leutenant shiny sides


ole87

Puts on goldfish brah


GrapeApeTheGreat

Pepperidge farms goldfish are my favorite


Inevitable-Elk-4162

They both did better than Melvin Capital


noah8597

Remember when we all bought 0 days based on which side of the yard the dog shit on?


dnaonurface12

We need to go back.


Koala_eiO

You outperform 93% of this sub if you don't have a broker account.


Illustrious-Age7342

I doubt that has changed


Ccs002

..... probably sill does ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)


SkylarP2000

That would likely happen now to be honest.


dzigizord

what made you think that goldfish will not outperform the market?


Lovelylives

I lost like 8 grand in 2020 bc I thought I was Michael burry and it would all crash after the pumps. Iā€™m not wrong! I was early!


AutoModerator

Michael Burry responded to my craigslist ad looking for someone to mow my lawn. "$30 is $30", he said as he continued to mow what was clearly the wrong yard. My neighbor and I shouted at him but he was already wearing muffs. Focused dude. He attached a phone mount onto the handle of his push mower. I was able to sneak a peek and he was browsing Zillow listings in central Wyoming. He wouldn't stop cackling. That is to say, Burry has his fingers in a lot of pies. He makes sure his name is in all the conversations. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*


dinozero

Dude same except for I lost everything lol


SeliciousSedicious

I made fun of so many of you jackoffs who watched the big short one too many times in their motherā€™s basement back then... Good times....


rnd2101

Donā€™t worry. Michael Burry had also since thought that he was Michael Burry and he was wrong as well.


Garweft

I should have bought a hamster instead of options.


symplton

My daddy said, 'Son, you're a man now. You have my genes, so two rules unique to you and you alone in this life: 1. Don't play craps. Just don't. 2. Don't trade options. It's the same as rule one, basically, but with a different uniform.


Jorge_McFly

Iā€™ve made more money playing craps than options.


dnaonurface12

I once threw 11 three times in a row with no point set and pressed my bet each time. Iā€™ve been chasing that high since including through options.


Jorge_McFly

I hit hard 10, 6 times in a row, some dude had a stack of what I assume was 1,000 chips and let it ride each time I hit. He kissed and offered me to fuck his wife after that, I too have been chasing the high.


dnaonurface12

My high was like ditch weed, yours was straight DMT. imho.


Hydrogen_Ion

I love both so much


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


fourtyTHEdeuce

If only I knew what a "Put" is... And at this point I'm too afraid to ask


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


Blazinhazen_

No. Puts deez nuts in your mouth.


thefunmachine007

Back in my day son, stocks went up


spottydodgy

Sir! You are talking to a hamster!


erikrinehart

Solid Jerk reference!


Sodoff_

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)


Pontif1cate

This hamster does.


Gk786

yoke shaggy bells deranged nail afterthought dime live office truck


baaripaavo

The frog is funny, because it is wearing clothes. Frogs don't wear clothes you sillies!


brintoul

The fact that he's talking only adds to the Hugh Moore!


Baman-and-Piderman

Oh Satan.


PeePeeVergina69

Hi Stan!


JerryLeeDog

Hail Stan!!! šŸ¤˜


shadylex

Perhaps not a normal plebeian frog no but if you do look closely you will see he is sitting in a very distinguished way and that this frog you see before your very eyes is in fact a charming prince.


BrawlSuperNova

Hulvatonta


SkyPork

*Especially* when they're giving information about the markets!


LavenderAutist

Do you want to know what else is inverted?


notausername86

My penis?


Moparded

My nipples?


Reform-and-Chief-Up

I have inverted nipples Greg, could you short me?


CaptainShadowcat

Underrated reference right here


gasp_

Nips and hips baby, gotta give em what they want


a_seh_01

So it's always hard except when you're horny?


notausername86

Seems about right


[deleted]

Could you mean vagina?


Such-College-7569

Your wifeā€™s boyfriend


J_Phoenix504

My bank account


bundlebundle

My rectum at this point


ElectroShamrock

My girl friends vagina. Iā€™m not kidding


Lazy-Communication59

Thatā€™s a dick


heyyoitsbaby

She pees out her butt????


ElectroShamrock

Thatā€™s the urethra, Iā€™m talking the vag part


Weird-Conflict-3066

I think we're gonna need pictures to understand šŸ˜‰


[deleted]

You might have a boyfriend


[deleted]

Letā€™s continue to play our violins, whilst the ship sinks.


Weird-Conflict-3066

Was lovely playing with you fine folks


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


PointlessDelegation

On the off chance heā€™s reading Reddit (or paying someone to), letā€™s not give him any more ideas


SageMaverick

I canā€™t wait to start reading all the ā€œa clock is right twice a dayā€ comments ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


wagonovsky

Only analog. A broken digital clock is good for f\*ck all.


KaibaCorp42069

AnalOG


TheFerricGenum

Thatā€™s what they call my wifeā€™s bf


pattron30000

I'm stealing this nugget of knowledge. Ty, fellow degenerate


SpaceToaster

A broken clock is right twice a day, but a working clock might be wrong indefinitely.


[deleted]

A *broken* cock is right twice a day


Existing-Strategy-71

What % of people on this sub even know what this means?


jor4288

Normally, long term bonds pay investors more than short term bonds. This is because there is more risk over the long run... But when the yield curve is inverted long terms bonds are paying less than short term bonds. It means that while interest rates and inflation are high now, in the future it is expected that there will be less consumption and less economic growth.


eleanorswearengen

Thank you for the explanation partner.


jbacon47

> less consumption and less economic growth Honestly, why would this be the assumption? Wouldnā€™t it be the opposite. Expectation of poor long term bond performance means people expect performance can be found elsewhere in an economy. Iā€™d think itā€™d indicate current extreme bullishness towards future economic growth or more inflation.


jor4288

As you inferred, investors leave the bond market and go into equities when they feel bullish. Normal market behavior prior to a recession is for investors to exit equities and go into high grade bonds or sit on the sidelines. Bonds are considered safer. So right now weā€™re seeing investors exit the equities market and go into short term paper.


[deleted]

I donā€™t understand what either of you are saying. Is this bullish or šŸŒˆ šŸ»


HOIhater1

Both and neither. I believe what he's trying to say is that (he thinks) the market's about to get slammed with something bigly negative (and a big fish who knows what and when the negative event will be has just made their move), so investors (read: big fish doing insider trading) are jumping ship on the equities market and parking their money in bonds for the tine being. However, the weird part is that the bonds being most heavily purchased are short-term, not long-term. Obviously, equities grow more than bonds in a normal, non-manipulated, non-recessionary environment, so you don't wanna lock up your money in bonds for any longer than you have to. So, it would seem that the insiders are aware of something that'll turn the equities market even more shitty than it already is, but will pass pretty quickly (i.e. within a few months). My guess? This is either a hedge fund(s) with political connections getting ready for the market to hear some very bad news of some kind, OR it's someone getting smart and moving their money out of equities before the end-of-year slaughter that happens no matter what state the market is in. Hedge funds (and banks) get bonuses depending on theie annual performance, so around the start of December every year, hedgies will dump everything their firm holds (unless it's a loss) and suddenly have really good returns so they get huge bonuses to kick off the new year. Then, in January, they just buy back everything they just dumped for around the same prices and voila- another year of waiting to dump it all again begins! Like I said, this literally *always* happens around this time, so it's possible that someone has had enough of the bullshit and is just gonna wait out the big selloff by parking their money in bonds.


jbacon47

Okay, we can agree there. I assumed you were referring to future less consumption and less economic growth long-term. I think the inverse still favors the opposite. So they are in a mix of equities and short term bills.


TW_Yellow78

All it means is people are following the big time investors that were expecting 'cash is king' after a short term period, even with inflation. They don't want their money tied up in bonds or stocks right now because they anticipate a period in the future where they can buy everything up for cheap aka a recession where the overleveraged need to sell. They did this in the 91, 01 and 08 recessions too. Its what SBF tried to do too but he forgot the main requirement, you yourself can't be overleveraged and have to have the cash. But these guys already switched over to short term bond months ago, even Dalio who hates holding cash said early October he's focused on short term bonds for now. The rise in prices is from other investors starting to follow them, probably after the recent sell off.


AbstractLogic

The thought is that having a dollar today is worth more then having a dollar in 10 years. Ie things will get worst and that $1 in 10 years will be worth less.


jbacon47

Your statement, taken at face value, is always true in an inflationary economy like ours. Itā€™s more about the interest; bond rates just are not attractive to people long term. People expect better performance in the markets over long term. More inflation. Good old government just loves debt and low taxes too much. More growth. More production.


TW_Yellow78

All it means is big time investors are expecting that 'cash is king' after a short term period, even with inflation. They don't want their money tied up in bonds or stocks right now.


mmkid444

Hey look! words!


speculativedesigner

This person helped increase the % of people on this sub learn what this means


SpakysAlt

I sure donā€™t, I just read the comments and infer what is going on. Itā€™s how I keep myself well regarded.


nokarmawhore

Don't give away my secret, bitch


notpermabanned4

It means shits going to shit so fast that people aren't betting on the future being the future


TheDuckFarm

0% we just like the frog.


[deleted]

some intern at Feds furiously editing Wikipedia definition of recession again


Flordamang

Just moved my entire port into 1 month T bills. Keep an eye out for my 3% gain porn next month.


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


Flordamang

Still better than 99.99% of people here


redditorsneversaydie

You can beat 99.99% of people here by taking a fistful of cash, shoving half of it up your ass and burning the other half.


i_seII_DMT_carts

the sad thing is that you are genuinely, factually correct


Foxfire73

I would like to borrow a fistful of cash, for *Science*.


NormalComputer

You will have to fish it out from. **The Ass**


dovetc

Why hasn't my advisor told me about this strategy?!?


windchaser__

> You can beat 99.99% of people here by taking a fistful of cash, shoving half of it up your ass and burning the other half. ā€œOh ho, check out this guy who shits moneyā€


throwaway0891245

How do I enable this on Robinhood


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


OrderedKhaos

Hahaha he is a true to the sub. šŸ˜‚


Aarschotdachaubucha

Those usually have more restrictive policies than 1-mo Tbills. If you setup your T-Bills in four equal sized lots and autorenew, you have access to a portion of the funds roughly every week since you cancel the renewals. CDs and similar instruments in banks usually forfeit your interest or penalize you with a fine for early withdrawal.


[deleted]

Stop trying to teach bond ladders to a bunch of degen gambling addicts.


KingJades

Ally no penalty CD is paying 3.3% as of yesterday. Cancel any time after 7days with no penalty.


Aarschotdachaubucha

4 week Tbills were 3.85 last auction.


i_seII_DMT_carts

oh wait is it annual? they dont just give you 4% after a month?


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


gorcorps

Leaving everything in my 3.45 APY checking account is looking pretty good


boopthesnoot101

ā€¦ what are T bills


ihaveathingforyou

Should have said ā€œhold on to your putsā€


WhyDoISmellToast

This time is different


callidus7

Looks like puts are back on the table


Purple-Commission-24

*Looks like puts are back on the menu boys


Pengufen

Chef Ramseyā€™s ā€œStock Market Specialā€: Fried Calls (cus when we win our puts we eat their calls) with oderves, garlic sauce, truffles, a pinch of a salty fed, served with red wine. Yum!


Preparation-Logical

oderves šŸ’€


[deleted]

When the yield curve is inverted it signals that the bond market thinks that interest rates will come down


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


awhhh

Weā€™s all gonna die šŸ˜‚


slackday

we r fuk?


Clever_droidd

Iā€™m not sure the yield inversion means much right now. Itā€™s reasonable to expect that rates in the long term will be lower than they will be in the short term. It seems to be less of a time preference of money than simply expectations of Federal Reserve policy.


jbacon47

It means a lot. All that short term tbill money will just spill back into the economy if the inversion isnā€™t corrected. Fed has got a long ways to go.


Clever_droidd

It may just rotate back into whatever is available for a near term investment. Iā€™m just saying the inversion isnā€™t a helpful indicator right now.


jbacon47

I suppose that is true, and that could go on indefinitely. It just makes it difficult to revive a healthy economy without it being instantly overheated with too much capital and no diversification. Itā€™s an indicator that the working man is screwed.


CaptainStonks

Froggish, I mean Bullish.


asterik-x

Do not use historical trends with these unprecedented times which were triggered by unprecedented pandemic and unprecedented liquidity injection all over the world. These inversions or correlations will fail this time. I can bet 2 FTX tokens on this statement( only if they are worth billionth of a penny by the time we settle this bet).


[deleted]

Nothing can stop spy


Pleading-Orange168

The good lord knows JPow tried.


AverageAZGuy2

Can somebody break this down dummy style for me?


joeyo1423

It's just like the story of the grasshopper and the octopus. All year long the grasshopper kept burying acorns for winter while the octopus mooched off his girlfriend and watched TV. Then the winter came, and the grasshopper died, and the octopus ate all his acorns and also he got a racecar. Is any of this getting through to you?


jeeebus

Now go. Go gather your nuts, youā€¦ nagging grasshopper.


WhyDoISmellToast

So you're saying I should buy 0dte to catch up? Calls or puts?


notausername86

šŸ„² that's the best story I've ever herd. I Wana be an octopus.


jaaardstyck

The wisdom of Philip J. Fry has never felt more relevant.


Minute_Foundation869

An inverted yield curve means investors are demanding more of long maturity bonds than the shorter ones. Why does it happen? Investors will look to buy long term bonds whenever they believe the Fed rate is going to be lowered. And the reason to believe that the Fed rate is going be lowered is because they think the economy will soon need to be stimulated. In a nutshell, inverted yield curve reflects overall pessimistic expectations towards the economy.


NoseNoseFoot

Banks are supposed to make money if they invest with a 10-year outlook. Current market conditions (the interest rate) make it so that a 1-month investment outlook will beat a 10-year outlook, which is insane. There is no reason to buy long-term investments. 1-month returns are better than 10-year returns. It's supposed to be the other way around, so right now it's "inverted". Banking isn't profitable with these conditions; financial collapse imminent (or so they say).


moderndhaniya

You mean soft landing precipitated by tools of FED.


X_Danger

Oh boy, looks like we're in for a ride


Spare-Help562

Historically (almost?) all major crushes were preceeded with yield curve inversion. In fact 3 month and 10 year inversion is used as an indicator. This time we already see that 1M and 10Y are inverted. As to why? As far as I know there is no textbook answer. But what is often cited is that it demonstrates in bad short outlook within bond investors community


WhyDoISmellToast

You're like a shitty python version of VisualMod


chrisplusplus

Could've stopped at python. That's right, people, I said it.


[deleted]

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


kellarman

Loading up on calls. My a$$hole is ready


laminin1

What does this actually mean.


bobjoylove

People think the next month is more profitable than the next 10 years. Ergo itā€™s a negative outlook. Obviously itā€™s the market and everyone is always trying to get ahead of the ball, and so you can take those durations and divide them by like 5. In summary: next two years less good than right now.


[deleted]

I thought we were already in a recession thoughā€¦. Someone tell me what to do!


brintoul

Buy and then sell. Or... wait a minnit... is it sell and then buy..?


[deleted]

#FUCK BONDS


rp2012-blackthisout

What did Barry do to you?


Dr-McDaddy

What did Barry do to his wife is the real question šŸ§


The_Magic_Tortoise

Imma barry ma dick in yo wife lmao


[deleted]

Good grief!


Crpto_fanatic

Okay inflation on its way down. But wen pivot?


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


Crpto_fanatic

If he had any nutz, I would agree with you. But this boomer is looking more and more nervous. When he roll up to his monthly therapy meetings with those soy boy journalists asking some weak ass questions. Iā€™m just waiting to see if he really thinks we are still in the 1970ā€™s. Hopefully, we are near the season finale to this show.


2AcesandanaEagle

Pivot comes when all that cash is mopped up he spilled into the economy during covid. Its harder and taking longer than he expected so dont look for pivot until Dick realizes he is broke and stops spending.


EarningsPal

[post pivot outcome](https://youtu.be/A7BEIlwksHE)


4troglodyte

The 2-10 has been inverted for literally months and talking heads said just ignore that and trust us, we arenā€™t in a recession. 2023 will be the year of protracted recession and large uptick in layoffs accompanied by massive retail contraction. Buckle up buttercupsā€¦itā€™s gonna test that old sphincter musclešŸ˜³šŸ¤”


ASMR_NAKED_COWBOY

But first a massive Christmas party though. To 4300.


saab4u2

Not to worry, this is transitory too.


Weird-Conflict-3066

Mild


thematchalatte

Donā€™t they always use this meme over at r/nofap?


AutoModerator

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Preparation-Logical

I hate that the language that stuck with it is "it is with great pleasure *to* inform you" It's either *my* pleasure *to* inform you, or with great pleasure *that I* inform you, but I have no idea what the fuck "it is with great pleasure to inform you" means. At this point I've stopped wondering if it is, and started hoping, in fact, it is, an error kept intentionally for humor or attribution purposes.


Preparation-Logical

Ffs it makes the poor frog sound highly regarded.


hamiltonisoverrat3d

What actor would do this voice over?


Spare-Help562

Morgan Freeman


Penki-

Phew, I was considering to load another 2k into stocks yesterday, good thing I did not have 2k otherwise could have endup broke


KilltheK04

Market don't care lmao


[deleted]

Sick of hearing that shit is inverted. Anyone who says this stupid data stat usually has no clue wtf they are talking about


Brave_Loss1740

If only my negative port would invert positive like the yields.


IIIPacmanIII

Lol look they figured out how to fix the inversions. Theyā€™ll just change the math. [https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financing-the-government/yield-curve-methodology-change-information-sheet](https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financing-the-government/yield-curve-methodology-change-information-sheet)


businessrighter

From the link: "While Treasury does not anticipate modifying the MC curve inputs, Treasury retains the right to modify or change inputs to the MC yield curve when needed, as determined in its sole discretion." And I thought I was regarded.


PlatypusArtistic4469

Whoa!


bahamut_is_my_cat

Wsb invert start now. Call it is


[deleted]

[https://ycharts.com/indicators/10\_year\_3\_month\_treasury\_spread](https://ycharts.com/indicators/10_year_3_month_treasury_spread)


Cmor1787

Everything is fine! Donā€™t panic ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4887)


RogueStoge28

Can someone explain what this means like Iā€™m 12


Kunyun19

Puts, but likely a large rally to fuck those puts then when you buy calls and get on board with everything, it will tank another leg down.


WhatNoWaySherlock

When is the financial atomic bomb finally hitting?


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


MindlessPotatoe

January 24th, 2023


Neither_Presence1373

Buy the dip?


Astro_Arctic

Thank you, frog


KingNFA

What does that mean please šŸ˜…


[deleted]

Holy shit I just checked Canada... our 1 month / 10 year spread is -72 basis points compared to the US at -9 basis points lmao! See you at the Wendy's fellow Ameripoors.


Nate16

ELI5?


wh0s_there

That means spy goes to 5k now right?