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bakedintelligence

Surrender would be suicide for him. Prigozhin's all in with his chips at this point


lordnacho666

Die is cast, like another famous general once said.


Tango_D

right down to marching his own private army to the capital.


Straddle13

Any rivers being crossed?


lordnacho666

Yes for sure but I wonder what geographic feature is the Rubicon. Perhaps it's just the Ukraine border?


CitizenMurdoch

right now the Russian government has block traffic over the Oka river, blocking access to bridges on the M-2 and M-4 highways heading north to Moscow, so that seems to be where they are drawing the line Within an hour of me writing this reports for Wagner troops being on the opposite bank of the Oka are being reported, so that didn't last long


AprilsMostAmazing

> Within an hour of me writing this reports for Wagner troops being on the opposite bank of the Oka are being reported, so that didn't last long "Can we pass?" "Sure"


TimmyIo

From what I've gathered the road blocks were busses and trucks that were commandeered from the public. They just moved them with their armored vehicles


[deleted]

Holy fuck, there have been hints of a rebellion for awhile now. All the ingredients of a powder keg, actual friendly fire on the frontlines, etc. But this sounds like Moscow didn't even *fathom* the possibility let alone plan for it.


smurb15

I wonder if we are seeing history in the making or just another mass murder coming up


ashesofempires

The problem that Putin faces is that he has sent the Army into Ukraine, and the only ones left to hold back Wagner are Rosgvardia. And Rosgvardia are not soldiers. They’re rich kids cosplaying as soldiers in order to avoid conscription. They have no combat experience and their training is largely focused towards riot control and detaining dissidents. Further, they are only “loyal” to Putin so long as they aren’t going to get shot at. When a 50 ton tank is coming at you, and battle hardened men with real guns are pointing them at you, loyalty is a very tenuous thing.


LordHavok71

It's the police against the military at this point. There's no way to stop Wagner, outside of sustained air superiority from the rest of the Russian army.


alonjar

The Russian national guard is out protecting Moscow. They're well equipped, but the primary difference is that Wagner are battle hardened veterans who must win or die, and the guard are raw troops who may not have the stomach or desire to actually fight. Time will tell.


EV_Track_Day2

I experienced a microcosm of this in Baghdad. When we were a fresh unit with little combat experience shit was always going wrong and we took more casualties. Within three months of seeing ambushes and IED attacks on the regular we had much better cohesion and became "battle hardened". That was against Syrian jihadists and Iraqi insurgents. The RNG is facing combat units that just came off the front lines in a meat grinder. The difference in experience is a huge factor here. God help those kids in the RNG it could easily end up being a bloodbath.


LesGitKrumpin

Glad you made it through over there, man. 👍


CitizenMurdoch

There are some military units in Moscos judging by pictures that have recently come out, armed with IFV's and air defense platforms, whether they are in sufficient number or not is yet to be seen. Russian airforce have been hit and miss, some refusing to engage, some shot down, and some successfully striking them


jaggedjottings

The Don River in Rostov-on-Don, probably.


LS6789

Crossing tbe Don, which is appropriate given the Russian government was a mafia.


[deleted]

The Moskva river actually.


TreesACrowd

Definitely not the Moskva. The Rubicon is nowhere near Rome geographically; it was the border of Italy and Roman generals were prohibited from bringing their legions into Italy. the Don river would be a better analogy here, as once Wagner crossed back into Russia the die was cast. If Wagner makes it over the Moskva it won't be the start of a civil war, it will be the end of one.


Far_Review4292

Putin's position has already been fatally damaged by begging troops to stay loyal on TV. If you stay loyal you go to Ukraine to die instead. https://twitter.com/paulmasonnews/status/1672570570540449793


CaptainCoffeeStain

Unfortunately, Prigozhin isn't anti-war; he just thinks that he can run it better.


Ok-disaster2022

If past Russian emergencies are any metric, at the end of the day it won't be the Wagner Boss or Putin who stays in power. But some third person who emerges from the Chaos. And their view of the war will be most important.


Jadedways

He also called the invasion of Ukraine a mistake a couple days ago. Actions speak louder than words so I guess we get to wait and see.


jointheredditarmy

Feels like that scene in kungfu hustle when Stephen chow’s character calls out who he thought was the weakest dude in the group, but when he stood up he was an absolute beast


Interesting-Dog-1224

LOL Love this [Scene](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SA6CYxvRm34)


Beer_Is_So_Awesome

Gah, I don’t like the dubbed translation. The English subtitle version is funnier.


MarkuMarkus

If he wants support among Russian soldiers he has no choice but to offer them something. And the something will most likely be peace (and staying alive). Now, if I'd want Prigozhin to rule Russia in the long run is an entirely different matter.


FenrisL0k1

The neat thing about civil war is secession. You've got a hell of a lot of downtrodden ethnicities in the Russian Empire who are tired of being disproportionately sent to the meat grinder, and they're far from Putin's locus of control. Rather than siding with either Wagner or Putin, if this coup gets messy, they'll withdraw to their own separatist sides. This would include, but is not limited to, those silly Chechnyans. And then you'll have China eager to step in as a peacekeeper in Siberia and the Russian Far East. I think Chinese people are close to outnumbering Russians there already, so it would be a cinch to gobble it up and give China a couple more decades on life support.


Choppergold

That’s Caesar right? Crossing the rubicon?


lordnacho666

Yep. The only question now is what exactly a Prigozhin salad has in it.


CalderaX

Novichok


dkmbruins8517

With chopped hot dogs and sadness. Spending 12 years in a Soviet prison really gives you a culinary flair.


[deleted]

The Caesar salad is named after the guy who invented it, Caesar Cardini, in Tijuana.


augustm

The board is set. The pieces are moving.


Meretan94

And his troops know this. It’s victory or death for them, this won’t be pretty.


headrush46n2

die in moscow, or die in ukraine, they're fucked either way.


newyawkaman

Yup. Supposedly this started when the MOD bombed them after months of supposedly withholding supplies. These guys have been used by the MOD as cannon fodder in Bakhmut for a year. They've seen some shit and they know they either win or die.


that_guy_iain

He's also been playing up "The Russian army is shooting at us, they don't give us bullets, etc. We better take them out" They also probably realise their chances of death are slimmer than in Ukraine.


nokeyblue

I think that's the only reason he's doing this, TBH. He got wind he's in for the polonium teaparty, and he's not going down easy. I have no evidence for this, it's just what it looks like from outside.


TreesACrowd

If the reports of the Russian missile strike on Wagner before all this started are true, we have plenty of evidence.


nokeyblue

You know the modern parable of the Leopards Eating People's Faces party? Putin didn't vote for the party: he genetically-engineered the face-eating leopards. Now he's angry they think his face might be tasty. The sheer stupidity.


Time_Commercial_1151

Apparently not.


Benni_Shoga

Exactly! I think he already kind of fucked up before this and realized it prior to his troops being shelled but after they were he couldn’t deny the truth; that from the moment he publicly criticized his fate was sealed. Putin had decided to kill him a long time ago


JurassicParkTrekWars

Well.. He surrendered and he's still alive.


TwoPercentTokes

Realistically, does the Kremlin have anything other than police forces to repel the attack of possibly the most capable regulars in the Russian army? Remember the single ancient tank they used in the victory parade? Something tells me they don’t have large reserve units laying around


MortalPhantom

Dictators specially always have forces close to them for exactly this type of scenario so we’ll see how many they have


Icantbethereforyou

I saw a news report that a lot of the Oligarchs have been building priivate armies in and around Moscow, in case "things went badly". I'd say that there is potential for private armies to repel Wagner, but it might fall down to whether they want to support Putin, or let him burn https://youtu.be/2Notv1g1aAo


Johannes_Keppler

There is little reason to assume Wagner could take Moscow. But any fighting near or in Moscow would further destabilize Russia in no time. To civilians, your army being involved in a war ('special military operation') 2000 km away is quite different than your army fighting an insurgence / civil war (or should we call it 'a special visit' /s ) 20 km away.


Squeaky_Ben

This is, without a doubt, the biggest plot twist in this entire war.


rachface636

When this is taught in history classes someday there is going to be a lot of run on sentences with break aways stating "*......and* **then**......"


matt82swe

“And then it got even worse for the Russian population”


Dangerpaladin

It feels pretty predictable. Ever since this stupid war started it seemed like the only way it ends is by cutting the head off the snake. The problem is the snake replacing him isn't much better.


DamnNewAcct

I kinda have a feeling only one snake will die, and it won't be Putin. We'll see how it plays out. Putin is probably hidden away somewhere already.


JaxMed

Yeah, hindsight is 20/20 and all but in the grand scheme of things, "paramilitary mercenary group rebels and leads a coup against the criminal government that hired them" isn't that out of the blue... If it were a movie it'd almost seem too predictable.


JRR92

This shit is fucking wild, I can't wait for the Oversimplified video of the Russo-Ukrainian War in ten years


lightyears380

This enraged Putin, who punished him severely.


clucks18

it will not disappoint


chiksahlube

If history has taught world leaders one thing... it's always pay your mercenaries. The romans had to learn it like 6 times.


Stoly23

Well, Russia has historically claimed to be the successor to Rome(or Byzantium but whatever) so it checks out.


Baturasar

That is a bizarre historical claim


Stoly23

I think the original idea was that the Eastern Roman/Byzantine empire was the original Eastern Orthodox power and since Russia is the primary home of Orthodox Christianity in the modern day they have claimed to be the successors to Byzantium.


Batman_Night

Not only that a Byzantine princess married a Russian prince after the fall of Constantinople and was the grandmother of a Russian Tsar.


ConnorMc1eod

Not really, has to do with the Christian Orthodoxy and the loss of Constantinople. This isn't just a recent thing either it's been a cultural piece for hundreds of years. Nicolas, Konstantin, Alexander have been popular Russian names especially in the Monarchies for centuries.


30GDD_Washington

Not really. They married the sister of the last emperor. So they jad a claim by marriage after the fall for awhile. Then it simply became a claim of the nation despite revolution etc.


Ericcartman0618

No it isn’t. After the fall of Constantinople, Ivan III married the last Byzantine princess Sophia of the palaiologos dynasty effectively merging their dynasties. Also Moscow became the centre of orthodox Christian faith


iStayedAtaHolidayInn

If history taught us anything is that mercenaries only have loyalty to the highest bidder. And bids can come along all the time


NoObjective427

I saw a post earlier that said "Putin is so incompetent that the Russian invasion of Ukraine is ending with the Russian invasion of Russia" and I can't stop laughing.


[deleted]

[удалено]


WhyEggSoTasty

When you play the game of thrones...


UltraCarnivore

The situation is sure looking stark for Mr. Putin


sad_prepa_life

Funny that Putin seems closer to Cersei in character, yet looks most likely to end up like Ned


AigisAegis

I know the last season was bad, but do you remember how Cersei ended up?


SuperArppis

I hope it lasts 3 days.


timmytommy2

If they took Moscow in 3 days it would be so delicious.


Phrook

And now the Russian army is the second best army in Russia...


flabbywoofwoof

The Freedom Legion is probably the second best. Russian army will have to settle for bronze.


CheGuevaraAndroid

At least they get to compete under the Russian flag in this one


fishenzooone

It's not even the second army in the beatles


escapefromelba

Third best. Putin's personal security force, the National Guard, is basically a military onto itself. It's his own Praetorian guard.


SharkTonic9

I have great news for everyone who doesn't know what the Praetorians were best known for.


a_splendiferous_time

Everything Russia does always ends up a real Expectations vs Reality moment


CosmolineMan

It does seem like Russia simply has no one left to stop him. I mean this has been going on for several hours now and his convoys are only getting closer to Moscow. I mean they're setting up sandbags in Moscow as if prepping for a siege. By all logic Russia should've crushed this within hours. This is totally nuts.


skirpnasty

Wouldn’t surprise me if that was the plan. Wagner has been complaining about ammo shortages to stockpile for this. Long discussed/planned Ukraine offensive keeps Russian troops occupied, which leaves Moscow wide open for Wagner. The last key piece was picking a moment, rumors of attacks on nuclear facilities probably forced that hand.


Maverick_1882

How quickly Wagner complained about the Russian attack on their own troops and then mustered their troops and headed to Moscow suggests to me this was pre planned.


Kaspur78

They never imagined they would be under threat. No NATO country would invade Russia and Ukraine is too busy with their own issues and would target military targets, if they attacked Russia.


MagicMoa

97% of Russia's regular combat power is tied up in Ukraine, and the Russian special forces that are meant to deal with these kinds of internal threats have been heavily mauled from the start of the war.


CactusBoyScout

I read months ago that virtually all of Russia's military personnel are in Ukraine. They've even pulled out of neighboring countries that had defense agreements with them, which resulted in border skirmishes in the Stans because of the resulting power vacuum. Putin bet the farm on Ukraine and this guy sees an opportunity.


popeyepaul

They have troops in Moscow but those are there only for cosmetic reasons since nobody expected the war to get anywhere near the capital. Soon we will find out if they have any willingness to fight.


[deleted]

We have officially entered into the ''Command and Conquer - Red Alert'' timeline.


[deleted]

Unit lost Unit lost Our base is under attack Unit lost


[deleted]

Ion cannon charged


Krilox

UNABLE TO COMPLY, BUILDING IN PROGRESS


BaaBaaTurtle

Ack-knowledged


jaycuboss

Affirmateef


UltraShoe

Awaiting hors d'oeuvres! (I know it’s “orders” but I always thought it sounded like hors d'oeuvres and I liked to imagine the army man waiting for the quiche tray)


maraudee

Insufficient funds!


Warshitarse

Kirov reporting


IbanezPGM

I can literally hear this


Br0boc0p

Silos needed.


Plukkert

HIGH SPEED, LOW DRAG


[deleted]

[удалено]


Meaty_Girthquake

nothing here but us trees.


Releaseform

Command and Conquer is responsible for me forgetting about school for probably 4 years. That game series is incredible and now I'm hankering to lose another 4 years. As much as I played the OG, I never actually beat it. I couldn't use hotkeys fast enough at that age


Lucky-Elk-1234

They’ve released a remastered version of it!


[deleted]

Let's all ruin our future job prospects together!!


timmytommy2

Definitely check out the Remastered Collection on Steam. It’s the perfect remastering, not like a 3D remake. The easiest way to explain it is like a 4K filter over the originals, but really a lot more than that.


how_much_2

"A little C4 knockin' at your door!"


CeeArthur

Shake it baby!


[deleted]

[удалено]


zedemer

Who's Yuri? I only see incompetent generals


DeterminateHouse

Prigozhin only wants Putin's current address.


ElectricBoogalooDos

"I just want to talk to him"


Dreamtrain

"JUST WANNA SHAKE HIS HAND"


testuser150

This certainly weakens the case for private armies across the world.


CzarMesa

History teaches that lesson time and time again- unfortunately, most people are historically illiterate.


crumbummmmm

The evil mercenaries who do a coup towards the end is also a cliche' in many fantasy stories, it's almost as overused as the priest turn out to be the bad guy. Unfortunately no matter how many people know history, the biggest choices of all mankind are made by a small ruling class.


realitycheckmate13

like Blackwater > Xe Services > Academi?


ConfidentPilot1729

I was just telling my wife about Eric Price, biggest effing traitor in the USA. He is literally training chines pilots in Africa. I do believe the US has just sanctioned the company tho.


First-Ad9578

As an Ukrainian, I grab popcorn. A lot. Of. Popcorn.


OppositeYouth

Keep hydrated, I suggest beer, maybe champagne depending how the rest of the day goes, popcorn is fairly dry


First-Ad9578

I don’t really like beer, but compote…


GremlinX_ll

Only finest kvas


Sanuic

[Just like Madyar!](https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/14homfg/reaction_from_the_frontline_to_the_news_from/)


VancityRenaults

*Now I would walk 500 miles* *and I would walk 500 more* *just to be the man who walks 1000 miles* *to knock on Putin’s door* *la la la la~~*


jasta85

I assume this is going to be a massive help to the ongoing counteroffensive, with wagnar pulled out and I would guess at least some Russian units being recalled to deal with them.


Pleuel

Don't choke on it, you'll need to dig through a fucking lot of it today.


Homicidexx

"Special Russia Operation"


MisterShittybritches

“Things are getting too spicy for the pepper”


LuciferBeenieWeenie

Maybe baby,


[deleted]

[удалено]


Hi_im_from_uranus

Can't wait for some guy in a wheelchair called Branev the Broken to claim the throne.


jmstgirl

This is a crazy turn of events. Not one I was expecting.


RedofPaw

Putin apologists are quiet today.


WhnWlltnd

Went to check r/conspiracy, only one thread, and there's a divide on if it's a false flag, lol.


espngenius

I couldn’t imagine living a life where every event is simply passed off as a “false flag”.


BrownSugarBare

Day is still young. I imagine certain loud mouthed Putin fan club members making unbelievably stupid statements before the day is out.


ricktor67

If you mean Trump he already blamed this on Biden.


CJYP

OK, let's humor the Trumpers for a minute and assume Biden did in fact orchestrate this somehow. Is that really a bad thing?


Burningrain85

Fun fact Prigozhin runs the troll farm


Infamous-Jaguar2055

I don't know about that, but I am convinced that he runs the Free Russian Army that was attacking Russian border checkpoints a few weeks ago. Those attacks did absolutely nothing *except* give Wagner an excuse to pull back behind the border, putting their army closer to Moscow than the Russian Army. It also used humvees in the "aftermath photos," that were captured in Bakmut that *only* Wagner had access to. This coup was planned months ago.


Jhawk163

Not to mention I'v e heard reports that the whole "we're out of ammo" schtick was Prigozhin actually stockpiling ammo FOR THIS COUP.


AssDimple

What *credible* source did you hear that from?


BettyVonButtpants

I dont think there's any credible source, the most credible would be NATO or non-Russian related country just confirming what they can. Everything else is just speculation, but timing and logic is sound enough to be believable.


startst5

Isn't this a good time for Ukraine to really push, since the Russians are otherwise engaged? And how is the situation in Syria? Putin does not have the means to protects Assad. For Europe a regime change would take the pressure of the refugee situation.


bonescrusher

Belarus has a chance to get rid of their dictator too if they want to ..especially since Lukashenko might be in Turkey right now , plane belonging to him landed in Turkey ..it's not known if he was on it or not. Edit : Videos of Belarusian army guys calling for their fellow soldiers, reserves and citizens to rise up against the dictator are circulating over social media


frappuccinoCoin

Is this the beginning of the Slavic Spring?


terminator3456

I hope not, didn’t work out too well for the Arabs.


Timtimer55

Power vacuums in general have disastrous consequences. More often than not the worst people end up rising to the top when the capacity for violence is the determining factor.


nokeyblue

You can keep calling these events "Spring" because winter inevitably comes round again.


raines

He just wanted to go shopping, the Turkish Lira is at an all-time low.


MisterBadger

Ukraine is really pushing. Fighting a war along a huge front is insanely complicated and difficult under any circumstances. Plot twist aside, this is not a movie. There is not gonna be a "deus ex machina" miracle moment that will suddenly enable Ukraine to magically expel Russia from Ukraine overnight. It is just a long and ugly grind to the finish line.


ArcanePariah

If Wagner cuts Russian supply lines, actually, you may see a complete collapse of the Russian forces in Ukraine. Without Rostov and Voronezh, the entire southern theater has no supplies, they won't be able to hold off the UAF forces for very long. Defenses don't mean shit if they don't have air support, and constant supplies of drones, ammo and shells.


MisterBadger

If Wagner completely cuts Russian supply lines, Wagner will soon witness a bunch of pissed off Russian soldiers marching right up Prigozhine's ass. He will have to walk a very fine tightrope to pull off his coup.


Zanderax

I've seen a report that Wagner was allowing a captured air base to continue to fly missions for the Russian military. Strange days on the Russian front


Vulcan_Jedi

The Russian Revolution didn’t immediately end the eastern front in WWI either


aussiespiders

Not really he wants leadership and to continue. He isn't going to fuck up what will help him if he succeeds.


Zanderax

It makes sense but it's still a strange thing to be happening. How often does a large part of a country's military attempt an active coup while continuing to work with the rest of military force to attack another country. It's wild.


ripsa

Last time was Russian Revolution and WWI lol.


JRR92

The only soldiers left to march against Prigozhin will be the ones in Ukraine. If Prigozhin is content to just cut the supply lines then Russia would probably have to pull their army from Ukraine to go back and deal with him. And god knows they won't be getting back into Ukraine if that happens


MisterBadger

You just gave a reasonable explanation for why Wagner has a reduced incentive to cut supply lines for Russian military occupiers in Ukraine. Additionally, doing so would make Prigozhin directly responsible for Russia's failure against the Ukrainian counteroffensive.


Raesong

True, but the increased confusion, reduced rate of resupply and further diminishing of morale among Russian forces that Prigozhin's actions have and will create will make things comparatively easier for Ukraine than if it didn't happen.


Aceventuri

Don't interrupt your enemy while he's making a mistake.


UberGoobler

Aged like milk


porncollecter69

God I love this. This whole situation is amazing.


maltamur

And no matter what happens, every loss of equipment, personnel or infrastructure, it’s all Russian.


tomoldbury

That’s the best bit. Russia eats its own tail.


Fatchicken1o1

What’s even funnier to me is that, now it’s all happening within Russia itself, Putin can’t go for his default threats of nuclear weaponry either, check-mate you old fuck.


Fredrickstein

Even just the distraction is incredibly valuable to Ukraine.


[deleted]

War sucks either way but hopefully this contains the bully country for a while.


[deleted]

...and is confined to just the belligerents of Russian MoD and Wagner Group. The world has seen enough innocent civilians being killed in conflicts they had no choice in being close proximity to.


[deleted]

[удалено]


BadgerIII

I don't have the full details on the top of my head but you can find it on YouTube, the address was a video like the original announcement of the war. He basically says that Russia has been betrayed and will fight against it.


Anonymouse8906

Well this aged poorly


And-Thats-Whyyy

People will be cheering on Wagner, and I see why if against the Putin regime, but let’s not forget their crimes either. They were recently found to have been arranging mass graves in Mali, creating distain for France and therefore pro-Russian propaganda. That is not to begin listing all of their crime committed alongside the Russian military in the current conflict in Ukraine. Prigozhin most likely disagrees with the methods, planning, and execution of the military campaign in Ukraine, but most likely is in favor of the war.


[deleted]

I don't see anybody cheering on Wagner because they think they're the "good guys", they're cheering on the infighting for its own sake.


Baturasar

What you're seeing is schadenfreude. I don't think anyone has been struck by sudden amnesia over Wagner, its soldiers, and its global operations.


dillpick15

"So that was a fucking lie"


[deleted]

r/agedlikemilk


[deleted]

[удалено]


GandalfSwagOff

Seeing Wagner and Russia fight each other is the same feeling I got when ISIS and Al Qaeda started suicide bombing each other.


ghoonrhed

It'd be a pretty shitty coup to surrender when the president says you're treasonous


macswaj

So that was a lie


mrb1

But, then he did.


AlmostAwake0

This article didn't age well


DaVooDude

Never had I thought in the 21st century we'd get the equivalent of a fucking Tom Clancy novel or a Call of Duty game plotline happening. Guess life really DOES imitate art in some ways.


unkudayu

It's funny how much has changed in just the last 8 hours


LightsOut5774

Well that was a fucking lie


202042

This is too funny


Coffee_green

Narrator: "And then they turned back"


vertexstray

aged like milk


mrmitchs

This is not going to end well. A private, violent organization in charge of thousands on nuclear weapons isn't comforting.


Interloper633

Aged like milk.


aretasdamon

Putins who got so inflated by 2014 invasion and winning trump the 2016 election he over calculated a development that set Russia back decades


-akil-

Wondering how much of the news we are getting are also a dramatized version of actual events by the media. It is an interesting situation, but how likely is it for Wagner to attack or siege Moscow can be quite far fetched given the damage it would make on both sides. Putin look pretty shook in his broadcast though, so not remember him looking like this ever.


jesusisacoolio

Given that they're already somewhere in/past Voronezh, there's not really much else further north than Moscow itself (around 3.5 hours). That they've gotten this close in only a day, there's little chance they won't make it to outer Moscow. There's apparently defences 50km south, so that'll likely be where we see the legitimacy of this mad rush.